Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.289095 1.468580 1.663905 1.892249 2.151890 2.437974 2.777176
2025-11-16 1.008537 1.251978 1.540079 1.906188 2.359213 2.901702 3.601241
2025-11-23 0.858082 1.130465 1.472080 1.932014 2.535451 3.300887 4.346981
2025-11-30 0.739432 1.022862 1.395660 1.921954 2.646420 3.609815 4.990754
2025-12-07 0.640153 0.923863 1.312776 1.884903 2.705996 3.843578 5.543135
2025-12-14 0.556849 0.834752 1.230076 1.833509 2.732500 4.024596 6.027986
2025-12-21 0.496946 0.771272 1.174939 1.812256 2.794710 4.254950 6.597158
2025-12-28 0.468663 0.751146 1.180048 1.878706 2.990321 4.694665 7.515650
2026-01-04 0.423903 0.700188 1.132173 1.856766 3.044308 4.918815 8.114109
2026-01-11 0.399876 0.679526 1.129032 1.904116 3.210366 5.329546 9.043497
2026-01-18 0.370186 0.646267 1.101843 1.908260 3.303816 5.627573 9.808727
2026-01-25 0.338555 0.606453 1.059740 1.882435 3.342629 5.835130 10.434040
2026-02-01 0.302074 0.557404 1.002087 1.832791 3.350827 6.017295 11.081847
2026-02-08 0.278289 0.529116 0.978865 1.843839 3.471667 6.414686 12.170255
2026-02-15 0.259366 0.507413 0.964698 1.868912 3.618963 6.871174 13.411115
2026-02-22 0.238045 0.478636 0.934151 1.859176 3.698327 7.207510 14.455452
2026-03-01 0.216034 0.445988 0.892674 1.823335 3.722242 7.438652 15.314794
2026-03-08 0.194985 0.412914 0.846851 1.773617 3.712446 7.601155 16.049830
2026-03-15 0.179266 0.389089 0.817006 1.753058 3.759221 7.879468 17.048891
2026-03-22 0.173266 0.385135 0.827346 1.817340 3.989321 8.553574 18.950068
2026-03-29 0.159963 0.363903 0.799257 1.796116 4.033475 8.841097 20.042417
2026-04-05 0.153546 0.357250 0.801708 1.841921 4.228690 9.469507 21.951093
2026-04-12 0.144272 0.343116 0.786311 1.845929 4.330114 9.901067 23.455887